Fresh Takes

Fresh Takes

Recent bad calls that are still unfolding

44 posts
Fresh Takes June 1, 2026

100% Certain: Stock Market Will Crash in July 2026 (Posted: June 1st, 2026)

"100% believes there will be a stock market downturn starting in July 2026 and lasting until October or November 2026."

— Craig Kirsner, President, Kirsner Capital

20h ago
Fresh Takes May 28, 2026

Seeking Alpha: Nvidia Overvalued; Structural Headwinds Ahead

"Nvidia faces significant valuation headwinds and structural growth challenges that could limit upside potential."

— Seeking Alpha Analyst Team

May 29, 2026
Fresh Takes May 22, 2026

Nvidia Beats Earnings 120% YoY. Wall Street: Sell the Rip.

"The sellers are missing the bigger picture."

— Nervous Traders & Analysts, May 2026

May 26, 2026
Fresh Takes May 11, 2026

Motley Fool: Micron Will "Skyrocket to $2,000." Narrator: It Did Not.

"In fact, it wont be surprising to see this AI stock reaching the $2,000 mark in a year."

— The Motley Fool, Staff Writer

May 22, 2026
Fresh Takes May 5, 2026

Seeking Alpha Downgrades Tesla to Hold. Tesla: Beats Earnings. Seeking Alpha: Still Hold.

"Tesla is downgraded to Hold as it enters a high-risk, capital-intensive transition toward AI, robotics, and semiconductor vertical integration."

— Seeking Alpha Analyst

May 19, 2026
Fresh Takes May 8, 2026

Goldman Sachs Slashes EPAM Target 50% to $110. EPAM: Beat Earnings. GS: Still Wrong.

"We downgrade EPAM from Buy to Neutral due to stronger-than-expected headwinds in discretionary spending"

— James Schneider, Goldman Sachs

May 15, 2026
Fresh Takes February 2026

Goldman Sachs: $700B in AI Investment Created... Nothing. (Math Hard.)

"We think there's been a lot of misreporting of the impact that AI investment had on GDP growth"

— Goldman Sachs Chief Economist, After $700B Bet

May 05, 2026
Fresh Takes April 23, 2026

Rothschild Redburn: PODD Has 87% Upside! One Day Later: Never Mind, Downgrade to Neutral

"PODD offers significant upside potential with our $360 price target, positioning it as a compelling buy for investors seeking exposure to the diabetes management space."

— Rothschild & Co Redburn consensus, April 23, 2026

May 01, 2026
Fresh Takes 2026-04-14

Motley Fool: UPST Will Double by Year-End. UPST Two Weeks Later: "Best I Can Do Is Tank 12%"

"This Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock Is Going to Double Before 2026 Is Over"

— The Motley Fool Stock Advisor Team, April 14, 2026

Apr 28, 2026
Fresh Takes March 1, 2026

Jim Cramer: Energy Stocks Are Most Overvalued. Exxon Replies: All-Time High.

"The world's most overvalued names are the energy stocks, and the world has plenty of oil."

— Jim Cramer, CNBC Investing Club

Apr 25, 2026
Fresh Takes April 20, 2026

"Sell Before May and Go Away" — Seeking Alpha Analyst, April 20, 2026

"Sell before May and go away. Why another big market drawdown is likely in 2026."

— Seeking Alpha Analyst

Apr 24, 2026
Fresh Takes April 14, 2026

Freedom Capital Markets Downgrades NBIS as Overbought. Stock Rallies Past New Target.

"Nebius shares have risen much faster than expected, moving into overbought territory."

— Paul Meeks, Freedom Capital Markets

Apr 23, 2026
Fresh Takes April 14, 2026

Motley Fool: UPST Will Double By EOY 2026. UPST 9 Days Later: "Best I Can Do Is Tank 12%"

"This beaten-down fintech stock could be primed for a comeback... We see meaningful upside potential, with room to double by year-end."

— Jennifer Saibil, The Motley Fool

Apr 23, 2026
Fresh Takes December 2025

Goldman Sachs Promises Fed Rate Cuts in March. April Arrives: "Maybe June?"

"We expect the first Fed cut in March, followed by three total cuts through 2026."

— Goldman Sachs Economics Team

Apr 22, 2026
Fresh Takes March 19, 2026

JPMorgan Cuts S&P 500 to 7,200. One Month Later: "Just Kidding, 7,600!"

"We are cutting our 2026 year-end S&P 500 price target to 7,200, reflecting recession risks and macro uncertainty."

— JPMorgan Equity Research, March 2026

Apr 22, 2026
Fresh Takes March 5, 2026

"AI Winter is Already Here" — Wrong in 6 Weeks Flat

"When this kind of chaos appears in infrastructure, we call it winter... Three years ago I could get results. Today I upgrade models and whole systems collapse."

— Aditya Srivastava, AI Infrastructure Analyst

Apr 21, 2026
Fresh Takes December 29, 2025

Hedge Fund Telemetry Calls for S&P Crash to 5000. S&P Replies: "Still Standing."

"At some point in 2026, the S&P will break under 5500. Maybe 5000."

— Hedge Fund Telemetry, December 29, 2025

Apr 21, 2026
Fresh Takes April 2026

Goldman Sachs Fixed Income Traders Get Blindsided. Everyone Else Crushes It.

"It was basically just a function of the overall environment making markets... Our performance in rates and mortgages was relatively lower."

— Denis Coleman, CFO, Goldman Sachs

Apr 20, 2026
Fresh Takes April 16, 2026

Susquehanna Pumps ARM to $210. Market Replies: "Nah."

"ARM will hit $210 as AI data centers drive $15 billion in AGI CPU revenue by 2031."

— Susquehanna Equity Research, April 16 2026

Apr 20, 2026
Fresh Takes March 30, 2026

Mohamed El-Erian Declared "Maximum Risk-Off." The Market Declared Otherwise.

"I have gone to maximum risk-off. Investors should avoid broad stock index exposure right now."

— Mohamed El-Erian, Chief Economic Advisor, Allianz

Apr 19, 2026
Fresh Takes April 14, 2026

Netflix Analyst: "We See a 15% Upside Case." NFLX Lost 9.7% in One Session.

"We maintain our Outperform rating with a $135 price target. Netflix's ad tier momentum and international growth represent a compelling 15% upside from current levels."

— JPMorgan Chase Equity Analyst, April 14, 2026

Apr 19, 2026
Fresh Takes April 6, 2026

JPMorgan Predicts Tesla "60% Downside to $145." Stock Rallies to $400.

"Tesla faces structural headwinds including technology and execution challenges, and intensifying competition that could drive material market share losses."

— Ryan Brinkman, JPMorgan Lead Automotive Analyst

Apr 18, 2026
Fresh Takes February 5, 2026

Atlassian CEO: "AI Enables Us Better Than Ever." Stock Down 59% Since He Said It.

"AI enables us to do that better than we ever had before in our domain, helping their teams to collaborate and be better."

— Atlassian CEO, Q2 2026 Earnings Call

Apr 18, 2026
Fresh Takes April 15, 2026

TD Cowen Maintains JFrog "Buy" After Cutting Price Target 12.5%. Stock Already Down 31% YTD.

"FROG maintains a Buy rating with a $70 price target (cut from $80), reflecting conviction in its DevOps platform despite near-term headwinds."

— TD Cowen, April 15, 2026

Apr 17, 2026
Fresh Takes April 14, 2026

"UPST Will Double by End of 2026" — Motley Fool, April 14, 2026

"I predict the stock will double before 2026 is over... Upstart stock would have to climb by 50% before the end of 2026 just to maintain its current P/S ratio... it would have to soar by 216% to bring..."

— Motley Fool Analyst

Apr 17, 2026
Fresh Takes April 14, 2026

Chicago Fed Chief Goolsbee: "Multiple Rate Cuts in 2026." War and Inflation: "Actually, Maybe 2027."

"I thought there could be even multiple rate cuts in 2026; the longer this goes where we never got to see the decrease in inflation (and) if the inflation stays up, realistically, I think that starts..."

— Austan Goolsbee, Chicago Federal Reserve President

Apr 16, 2026
Fresh Takes Early 2026

Cathie Wood Targets Tesla at $4,600 by EOY 2026. Tesla Enters April at $389.

"We are maintaining our 2026 price target of $4,600 per share for Tesla, reflecting conviction in autonomous vehicles and energy storage."

— Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest

Apr 15, 2026
Fresh Takes February 22, 2026

"AI Agents Will Collapse the Entire US Economy by 2028." It's Only Been 7 Weeks.

"A feedback loop with no brake—AI agents rapidly replace software engineers, financial advisors, and middle management. The unemployment rate will hit 10.2% by early 2028. The market will crash 38%..."

— Citrini Research, "The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis"

Apr 15, 2026
Fresh Takes April 2026

T. Rowe Price Will Collapse as ETFs Destroy Asset Managers

"Asset managers like T. Rowe Price are dinosaurs. Why pay 85 basis points when you can get SPY for 3? This stock will crater as retirement flows shift to ETFs. Sell immediately."

— A particularly confident analyst, April 2026

Apr 14, 2026
Fresh Takes December 2025

Jake Claver Promised $100 XRP "Before Year-End." XRP Had Other Plans.

"XRP can reach $100 before year-end 2025. ETF inflows, regulatory clarity, and geopolitical disruptions will be the catalysts."

— Jake Claver, Crypto Analyst

Apr 13, 2026
Fresh Takes February 4, 2026

Fred Hickey Declared the AI Bubble Was "Starting to Pop." Nvidia Up 85% Since His Put Bets.

"The AI bubble is starting to pop. I have my largest put option position against Nvidia."

— Fred Hickey, The High Tech Strategist

Apr 11, 2026
Fresh Takes February 19, 2026

"AI as a Tailwind"—Morgan Stanley on Atlassian, February 2026

"TEAM is deeply discounted. Investors worry about AI hurting Atlassian's seat-based model, but we see AI as a tailwind. This dip looks like a smart long-term buy."

— Keith Weiss, Morgan Stanley Analyst

Apr 11, 2026
Fresh Takes December 2024

Wall Street CEOs Predicted the S&P 500 Would Barely Move. It Rallied 8.3% Instead.

"The S&P 500 will end 2025 between 6,000 and 6,500. Definitely not much upside from here."

— 73% of surveyed CEOs, December 2024

Apr 10, 2026
Fresh Takes December 27, 2024

Goldman Sachs Called It: Markets Would Face a 15% Correction in Q1 2025

"We expect equity markets to face a significant pullback in the first quarter of 2025 given stretched valuations and macro headwinds."

— Goldman Sachs Equity Strategy Team, Late December 2024

Apr 10, 2026
Fresh Takes December 2024

VanEck Predicted Bitcoin Would Hit $180K in Q1 2025. The Crypto Industry Called It "Orders of Magnitude" Wrong.

"Bitcoin will peak in Q1 2025 around $180K, then hit a new all-time high at the end of the year."

— VanEck Digital Assets Research

Apr 09, 2026
Fresh Takes January 2026

Wedbush and 23 Analysts Pumped Oracle as an AI Infrastructure Juggernaut. The Stock Peaked at $345.72. Its Now at $144.

"Oracle is positioned among a small group of companies involved in the global AI infrastructure build-out with massive upside potential."

— Consensus Wall Street Analyst View, Early 2026

Apr 08, 2026
Fresh Takes March 25, 2026

Moody's Chief Economist Said Recession Was "A Real Threat." Two Weeks Later, The Economy Didn't Have Other Plans.

"Recession is a real threat here. If oil prices stay kind of where they are through Memorial Day, certainly through the end of the second quarter, that'll push us into recession."

— Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody's Analytics

Apr 08, 2026
Fresh Takes March 27, 2026

Rich Dad Author Says Nostradamus Predicted a 2026 Market Crash. He's Also Been Predicting "The Biggest Crash in History" Since 2013. The S&P 500 Is Up 284% Since Then.

"My warning was influenced by predictions often attributed to futurists Nostradamus and Edgar Cayce, who I claimed had foreseen a global economic disruption around 2026."

— Robert Kiyosaki, Rich Dad Poor Dad author

Mar 28, 2026
Fresh Takes February 16, 2026

Bloomberg Analyst Predicted $10,000 Bitcoin. He Got Roasted So Hard He Doubled It to $28,000. Bitcoin Is at $72,000.

"Bitcoin could revert toward $10,000 if U.S. equities peak and recession follows."

— Mike McGlone, Senior Commodity Strategist, Bloomberg Intelligence

Mar 18, 2026
Fresh Takes March 2024

Standard Chartered Predicted $14,000 Ethereum by End of 2025. Then They Slashed It to $4,000. It Closed at $2,968.

"We raise our price forecasts, as the backdrop for ETH has improved dramatically in recent months... Ether could reach $14,000 by end of 2025."

— Geoff Kendrick, Global Head of Digital Assets Research, Standard Chartered

Mar 12, 2026
Fresh Takes December 2025

XRP Influencer Promised $100 by Year-End. It Closed at $1.85. He Refused the $1 Million Bet.

"XRP will reach $100 before year-end. ETF inflows, regulatory clarity, global liquidity shifts — the catalysts are all there."

— Jake Claver, XRP commentator and crypto influencer

Mar 03, 2026
Fresh Takes April 2024

JPMorgan's "Gandalf" Called for S&P 4,200. It Closed at 5,882. He Got Fired.

"The correction still has further to go."

— Marko Kolanovic, JPMorgan Chief Market Strategist

Mar 01, 2026
Fresh Takes February 2021

The "SPAC King" Told Retail Investors SPACs Would Level the Playing Field. His Lost 70%+ While He Made $750 Million.

"SPACs are a way to even the playing field, offering average people an opportunity to invest in high-growth companies."

— Chamath Palihapitiya, Venture Capitalist and self-proclaimed "SPAC King"

Feb 12, 2026
Fresh Takes 2022-01-15

Cathie Wood's Coinbase $4,600 Target: Math Is Hard

"We believe Coinbase could reach a $4,600 price target as crypto adoption accelerates globally."

— Cathie Wood / ARK Invest Research

Dec 03, 2024