100% Certain: Stock Market Will Crash in July 2026 (Posted: June 1st, 2026)

On June 1, 2026, Kirsner staked his reputation on a crystal-clear market prediction: a summer downturn tied to the four-year midterm election cycle. Three days later, on June 2-3, the S&P 500 closed at all-time record highs (above 7,600) as Nvidia, Micron, and Marvell Tech powered an AI-led rally. Q1 earnings beat estimates by 84%. Sometimes being 100% certain just means you"re 100% wrong. The irony is exquisite: when your conviction is this strong, the market seems to take the opposite trade. See you in July, Craig.