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"UPST Will Double by End of 2026" — Motley Fool, April 14, 2026

Posted April 17, 2026

"I predict the stock will double before 2026 is over... Upstart stock would have to climb by 50% before the end of 2026 just to maintain its current P/S ratio... it would have to soar by 216% to bring its P/S ratio in line with its three-year average."

— Motley Fool Analyst

April 14, 2026

What Actually Happened

On April 14, a Motley Fool analyst published a bullish thesis on Upstart Holdings (UPST), arguing that the stock trading at $35.27 was a screaming bargain due to its depressed valuation and AI lending potential. The prediction: UPST would double (reach $70+) before year-end 2026. By April 17—just three days later—the stock had gained only 6.59% to $35.97, and analyst price targets were clustering around $43-$49. The AI bank charter dreams and "$1 trillion in fee revenue" vision look far less compelling when you realize the Motley Fool is betting on a 98%+ rally in nine months while Wall Street consensus targets a paltry 35% gain. Spoiler alert: history suggests overconfident doubling predictions don't age well.

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