Hall of Shame

Billionaire Leon Cooperman Predicted a 40% Crash and Recession in 2023. The S&P 500 Rallied 45% Instead.

Posted March 02, 2026

"I expect the S&P 500 to drop 40% from its January peak of 4800. We are looking at a recession in 2023, and I do not expect stocks to make new highs for several years."

— Leon Cooperman, Founder of Omega Advisors, Bloomberg Interview

June 2022

What Actually Happened

The legendary hedge fund manager who once ran Goldman Sachs' asset management division was absolutely certain the bear market was just getting started. His math was simple: 40% off the 4800 peak would put the S&P 500 around 2,880. Instead, the market had other plans. Not only was there no recession in 2023 (or 2024, or 2025), but the S&P 500 went on an absolute tear — blowing past 5,000, then 6,000, and now sitting around 6,940. That's not down 40%, that's UP 45% from the very peak Cooperman said we'd never see again "for several years." The 81-year-old billionaire has since quietly stopped making bold market timing calls, preferring to talk about individual stocks instead. Funny how that works.

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