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"Palantir Will Fall Hard in 2025" — It Rose 135% Instead

Posted February 15, 2026

"I think there's a very high likelihood that Palantir's stock will crash sometime in 2025. There is just too much growth baked into the stock... Investors will eventually decide to take profits en masse."

— Keithen Drury, Motley Fool Analyst

December 7, 2024

What Actually Happened

In December 2024, Drury confidently declared Palantir was a sell, warning the stock had "become disconnected from the business" at 64.5 times sales. His advice? "Take your profits and run." Those who ran missed out on a 135% gain in 2025 as Palantir's AI platform became the darling of government and commercial clients alike. The best part? When confronted with this spectacular miss, Drury published a follow-up titled "Here's Why I Was Wrong (And Still Right)" where he... doubled down on predicting it will fall in 2026. The man has conviction, you have to give him that. Meanwhile, anyone who "took their profits and ran" in December 2024 is still doing the math on how much that advice cost them.

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