VanEck Predicted a "$180,000 Q1 Peak" for Bitcoin in 2025. It Never Came Close.
Posted March 08, 2026
— Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck
December 13, 2024
What Actually Happened
This was not some random crypto influencer on Twitter. This was VanEck – the $89 billion asset manager that had just launched a spot Bitcoin ETF – publishing their official "10 Crypto Predictions for 2025." They did not just predict $180K; they pinned it to Q1, as a "first peak" before Q4 highs. Bitcoin ended Q1 2025 around $83,000. It peaked at $126,200 in October before a flash crash that wiped out $500 billion in crypto market cap in 24 hours. It ended the year at $87,000 and is now trading around $70,000. VanEck's Q4 "new highs" never materialized. Neither did their $6,000 ETH, $500 SOL, or $10 SUI calls. Sometimes even the professionals need a reminder: calling the top is hard. Calling the timing is harder. Calling both is nearly impossible.
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